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Exchange Rate Movements, Import And Economic Growth in Nigeria (1986-2010)

Olusola Oloba

Olusola Oloba 1

  1. Department of Economics, ObafemiAwolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria 1

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Abstract:

The study empirically investigates the effect of exchange rate volatility on import trade in Nigeria during the period 1986: 1-- 2009: 4. The study focuses on import trade because, the import aspect of trade flows has often been ignored by researchers. The study showed that exchange has been volatile in Nigeria as evident from the unusually high and unusually low standard deviation. Also, the econometric results show that exchange rate displays a clustering trend during the period under investigation which portrays high degree of volatility. Further, the econometric results indicated that a long run relationship exists between exchange rate volatility and trade flows. Also, the study showed a significant negative relationship between domestic output and import component of trade flows suggesting that increasing import tends to shrink production line in Nigeria. The study concluded that exchange rate volatility exerted a significant negative relationship with import in Nigeria.
Contribution/ Originality

Keywords:


Reference:

  1. Abba, G., 2009. Impact of foreign exchange volatility on import: A case of Nigeria foreign exchange market. Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Innovation and Management.
  2. Aydin, M.A., U. Ciplak and M.E. Yucel, 2004. Export supply and import demand models for the Turkish economy. The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Research Department Working Paper 04/09.
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  9. Johansen, S. and K. Juselius, 1990. Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration – with an application to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2): 162-210.
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  14. Oloba, O.M. and O.P. Abogan, 2013. Exchange rate volatility in Nigeria; Evidence from a parametric measure. Australian Journal of Business and Management Research (AJBMR), 3(5): 12-17.
  15. Shehu , A., 2008. Impact of foreign exchange volatility on imports: A case of Nigerian foreign exchange market (1987-2008). Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Innovation and Management, 2007.
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