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The Economics and Finance Letters

December 2021, Volume 8, 2, pp 117-129

Money Supply & Growth Nexus: Evidence from Nigeria

Onipede, Samuel F

,

Afiemo, Oghenekaro O

,

Nduka, Kodili N.

,

Apinran, Martins O

Onipede, Samuel F 1 Afiemo, Oghenekaro O 1 Nduka, Kodili N. 1 Apinran, Martins O 1 ,
;

  1. Central Bank of Nigeria, Central Business District, Garki, Abuja, Nigeria. 1

Pages: 117-129

DOI: 10.18488/journal.29.2021.82.117.129

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Article History:

Received: 18 January, 2021
Revised: 08 March, 2021
Accepted: 30 March, 2021
Published: 21 April, 2021


Abstract:

The study focused on the dynamic impact of the broader money supply (M3) on economic growth (proxied by Purchasing Manager Index) in Nigeria between 2010M1 and 2018M12. The study investigated the long and the short-run relationship between the selected macroeconomics variables including broad money supply (M3); consumer price Index (CPI); Oil price (OIL), external reserves (Rev) and economic growth using, the Autoregressive Distributed lag (ARDL) method. The findings from the study indicate that in the long-run, the relationship between the broad money supply and economic growth is not only significant statistically but also positive in compliance with theory. The error correction coefficient -0.38072 is statistically different from zero and negative in line with a priori expectation. The result shows that deviation from equilibrium between economic growth as proxied by PMI and other predictors is recovered at an average speed of about 38% monthly in the long-term. The implication here is that the Central Bank of Nigeria is encouraged to maintain a steady rate in the growth of its monetary aggregates, in such a way that is consistent with economic growth. This, of course, is to serve as a complementary policy measure to government’s Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP).
Contribution/ Originality
This study is adding to the existing literature on the subject matter in Nigeria by deploying a new data on the broader money supply, M3 that was recently introduced in the country. The work is around the first study to investigate the role of M3 on growth in Nigeria with Auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) technique.

Keywords:

Economic growth, ERGP, Money supply, Interest rate, Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL).

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Funding:

This study received no specific financial support.

Competing Interests:

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Acknowledgement:

All authors contributed equally to the conception and design of the study.

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