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Quarterly Journal of Econometrics Research

June 2021, Volume 7, 1, pp 44-54

Inflationary Rate in Nigeria: Impact of Foreign Capital Inflows

Olabode Eric Olabisi

Olabode Eric Olabisi 1

  1. Faculty of Humanities, Social and Management Sciences, Elizade University, Ilara-Mokin, Ondo State, Nigeria. 1

on Google Scholar
on PubMed

Pages: 44-54

DOI: 10.18488/journal.88.2021.71.44.54

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Article History:

Received: 05 July, 2021
Revised: 10 August, 2021
Accepted: 07 September, 2021
Published: 20 September, 2021


As the prices of daily needs are aggravating in Nigeria, the value of the country’s currency (naira) is less appreciated on a daily basis, and this pose a threat to a good standard of living in Nigeria. Therefore, this study investigated the impact of foreign capital inflows on the persistent increase in inflation in Nigeria over the period of 1985 to 2019. The Autoregressive Distributed Lags was used to obtain the parameter estimates of the long run relationship between foreign capital inflows and inflation. By using the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition techniques, the cause-effect analysis of foreign capital inflows and inflation was determined. Results provide evidence of a long run relationship between the series. Results further indicate that inflation is sensitive to foreign capital inflows variables such as net official development assistance received and remittance inflows in Nigeria. Policies that reduce the negative impact on inflation are recommended in the body of the paper.
Contribution/ Originality
In the previous literature, the influence of external capital inflows on inflation across the globe had been neglected. This may be an oversight on the part of the researchers. Hence, this paper contributes to the existing literature by investigating the influence of foreign capital inflows on inflation in Nigeria.


Foreign direct investment, Net official aids, Remittance inflows, Autoregressive distributed lags, Foreign capital inflows, Nigeria.



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This study received no specific financial support.

Competing Interests:

The author declares that there are no conflicts of interests regarding the publication of this paper.


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